Jack Frost Ski Area Snow Report

935 FXUS61 KPHI 020727 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 327 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Well above normal (summerlike) temperatures today then showers and cooler temps follow for tonight and into early Saturday. 2. Unsettled conditions are expected for Sunday and Sunday night. Rain chances remain about the same as yesterday however. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... Well above normal (summerlike) temperatures today then showers and cooler temps follow for tonight and into early Saturday. High pressure remains offshore will a very mild and humid airmass has established itself across our area. Today will be the warmest day of the stretch with low/mid 80s widespread across the area. Highs in the upper 70s across the southern Poconos. Dry conditions should prevail through mid-day. This will change this afternoon as a cold front will pass across the region this evening and early tonight and will settle over Delmarva on Saturday. Scattered showers will develop this afternoon, mainly north and west of the I-95 corridor, then spread east tonight. The showers taper off in most areas by Saturday morning, but across southern Delaware and south NJ, we`ll keep some clouds and scattered showers for Saturday as the front becomes nearly stationary over the Mid-Atlantic. Overall, QPF will be less than 1/10 inch but a few areas closer to 2/10ths of an inch are possible. KEY MESSAGE 2...Unsettled conditions are expected for Sunday and Sunday night. Rain chances remain about the same as yesterday however. High pressure then builds into the region from the north during Saturday. Mostly sunny skies for most of the area and partly to mostly cloudy skies across Delmarva and extreme southern New Jersey with seasonable, but slightly below normal temperatures with highs in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. After that, low pressure develops on that stalled front and passes cross the Mid-Atlantic and Delmarva Sunday and Sunday night. The previous fcst has low-end likely POPS for southern Delaware and the 50%-60% chance ribbon runs along the Delaware Valley and up into northern Ocean County. Low chance pops are included now for the southern Poconos and Lehigh Valley. These are perhaps 0-5% higher than this time yesterday. The present forecast QPF totals are a bit lighter than previous fcsts. Current totals are a half-inch across southern DE and 0.1 to 0.2 for the Delaware Valley. High pressure and a much cooler air mass then builds into the region starting Monday into Tuesday. High temperatures Tuesday are only near 60 degrees for much of the region, which is upwards of 10 degrees below normal. Some patchy frost is possible by Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Forecast lows are in the mid 30s north of I-78, and in the low to mid 40s elsewhere. && .AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas. Today... VFR much of the time. Increasing clouds thru the day and showers will arrive from the NW and sweep SE while diminishing. Lower conditions in showers. Chose the VCSH for the 06Z TAFS attm. Southwest winds increasing to 10 to 15 kts after 13Z/14Z with some G20-25 kts developing. Winds will turn W or NW at KRDG/KABE before 23Z. Medium/high confid. Tonight...Mostly VFR, but a short period of MVFR CIGS possible following the cold front this evening. Some TEMPO groups in the N/W sites and KPNE/KTTN for this. Winds turning NW to N around 5 to 10 kts following the front. Medium confid. Saturday... VFR expected. A few clouds/showers for KMIV/KACY early with a chance of a restriction. North winds increasing to around 10 knots. Medium confid. Outlook... Saturday night... VFR but patchy rural fog possible. Sunday... Widespread MVFR with IFR possible S/E with frequent showers Delmarva and south NJ. For N/W areas more VFR CIGS with some MVFR in scattered showers. Monday and Tuesday...VFR. Fair weather expected. && .MARINE... Today/Tonight...sub-SCA expected with scattered showers this evening and early tonight. Winds will be Southwest today then shifting Northwest this evening. Saturday... Continued sub-SCA with high pressure moving in from the North. Scattered showers possible early for Southern NJ/Delaware and Delaware Bay waters. North winds becoming 10 to 15 kts with gusts around 20 kts. Outlook... Saturday night thru Sunday...sub-SCA expected. Low pressure will move along a stalled front and bring showers across the waters at times. Sunday night into next week. High pressure builds across the waters with Fair weather expected. While winds and seas remain below SCA levels much of the time, some 4-5 ft seas and Gusts around 25 kts are possible later Monday and into Tuesday. && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...WFO PHI AVIATION...WFO PHI MARINE...AKL/WFO PHI