× Hydrologic Outlook
Until 2025-02-10T16:00:00-05:00 • National Weather Service
ESFMRX Multiple storm systems will impact the area this week and next weekend with moderate to heavy rainfall. The first storm system will impact the area on Tuesday and Tuesday night with 1 to 3 inches of rainfall across the area. Uncertainty exists in where the heaviest rainfall will fall, but the highest probability for heavy rainfall will be across southeast Tennessee and southwest North Carolina. The second storm system will bring moderate to heavy rainfall to the area on Wednesday night into Thursday with 1 to 3 inches of rain. There is higher certainty in the heaviest rainfall being limited to southeast Tennessee and southwest North Carolina. The third storm system will bring moderate to heavy rainfall to the area next Saturday into Sunday with an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain. These several rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall will produce between 3 and 8 inches of total rainfall across the area through next Sunday. Current antecedent soil moisture is much above normal across the northern plateau, Clinch Mountains, and southwest Virginia due to recent rainfall. Even lower rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches will result in some flooding problems in these areas. These locations will be the most flood prone on Tuesday into Wednesday. Above normal soil moisture conditions continue across the East Tennessee mountains and northeast Tennessee. Near normal soil moisture is observed across much of the valley and southwest North Carolina. Patches of drier soil moisture conditions are noted across southeast Tennessee. The risk of flooding will be increasing area-wide throughout the week and into next weekend with increased streamflows likely. If you live or work near flood prone locations such as creeks, stream, and rivers, you should have a plan for if flooding occurs. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, and your local media for further updates.