Devil's Nest Snow Report

689 FXUS63 KOAX 090515 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1215 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and storms will continue through much of the overnight hours. Heavy rainfall from training storms could lead to areas of flash flooding. - Cooler weather returns Wednesday and Thursday, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. - Next front arrives Friday, bringing another chance for severe storms late Friday into the overnight hours. Shower and storm chances continue through early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1141 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026 Tonight through Thursday... Two lines of storms developed this evening as a cold front drifted through the region. Storms generally struggled to develop beyond sub- severe limits through the evening hours, with stronger storms initiating to our east in Des Moines CWA. The spotlight will shift to hydro concerns through the overnight hours, despite the lack of deep updraft development. The 00Z sounding depicted a PWAT of 2.03", which is well above the climatological max of 1.81. Training has already begun with the SW to NE oriented line. Radar estimates and mesonet reports indicate amounts up to 1-2" have fallen, as of 11 PM. Additional amounts up to 1-3" will be possible through the overnight hours, as the increasing LLJ noses into the boundary reigniting convection. A surface high will sink south behind the front, ushering precip southeast of the forecast area by late Wednesday afternoon. noticeably cooler temperatures will finally settle into the region, with highs topping out in the upper 70s and low 80s. Similar conditions can be expected again on Thursday. Friday and Beyond... Subtle ridging will boost temperatures back into the 80s on Friday, with breezy southerly winds. The warmup will be short-lived, thankfully, as a cold front is progged to move in from the northwest Friday evening. Given the late afternoon/evening expected timing of the frontal passage, sufficient instability will likely be in place for deep moist convection. Additionally, increasing layer shear with an approaching shortwave will likely aide severe storm potential. As such, the SPC has highlighted much of the forecast area in a 15% Day4 severe outlook. Temperatures dive into the 70s Saturday, with a few locations only reaching the upper 60s by Sunday, finally giving us a hint of Fall. Looking further ahead, long-range guidance continues to hint at bringing a mid-level low across the northern Plains late next weekend into early next week. This system is expected to bring another round of 40-60% PoPs as well as a push of CAA into the region, keeping temperatures in the 70s early next week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1211 AM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026 Band of thundershowers draped through east-central Nebraska will sag south overnight. Some heavy rain is possible. North of the rain, patchy fog is expected to develop. Have introduced IFR visibility and cigs at KOMA from 12Z to 15Z Wednesday morning. Conditions could be worse (40%). Have also introduced fog to KLNK and KOFK. MVFR visibility is forecast there with the chance of lower visibility and cigs a real possibility. Will monitor. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KG AVIATION...Nicolaisen