Mt. Crescent Ski Area Snow Report

859 FXUS63 KOAX 040541 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1141 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Patchy drizzle continues to decrease in coverage and shift northeast this evening. Additional rain chances expected late Wednesday into Thursday (20-40% chance). - Cooler through Friday with some areas struggling to get out of the 40s. 50s and 60s return this weekend. - Portions of northeastern Nebraska and west-central Iowa will have lows fall to around freezing Friday and Saturday mornings. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1127 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 Tonight and Wednesday: Water vapor imagery this evening shows our recent weather maker in the form of a seasonably strong upper-level trough continuing to push to the northeast across the mid-Mississippi Valley towards the Great Lakes, while more compact trough pushes across the Great Basin. Locally we`re dealing with the leftovers from the larger system to the east, with lingering low stratus, gusty winds and areas of light rain and drizzle making for a dreary evening for many. Cooler air wrapping around with the gusty winds will take our current temperatures down a few more degrees, bottoming out in the upper 30s to low 40s with lighter winds greeting folks heading out the door early. On the edge of the clouds near the north-central NE and SD border, fog has developed, leaking slightly eastward. Some of those lower visibilities (one mile or less) may try and reach into western Knox/Antelope/Boone Counties between 5-8 AM, with those chances being around 20%. Heading through Wednesday, we`ll kick most of the precipitation from the overnight and early morning hours, in favor of a crisp fall day that tops out in the upper 40s to mid 50s. With the surface pressure gradient lessening through the day, winds will follow suit before dropping gusts later in the afternoon. Clouds will still be hard to kick, as the back end of the deformation axis with the previous system joins with PVA from the incoming shortwave to the west. CAMs indicate that some very light precipitation is possible as the best forcing moves through, but we`ll be on the dry side of things when it comes to moisture in the column. Those chances build into northeast Nebraska after 6 PM, arriving to the I-80 corridor around midnight before exiting the area by 7 AM Thursday. Thursday and Beyond: We continue to struggle to kick the clouds Thursday and Friday, with similar highs in the upper 40s to low 50s on tap to close out the work week. Forecast soundings show a shallow boundary layer Thursday, with steep enough lapse rates for some areas to see some sprinkles despite how shallow it is. Breaks in the clouds become larger Friday despite a positively-tilted shortwave moving southeastward through the area -- further evidence that moisture return into the area continues to be nonexistent. Clouds fully break this weekend and temperatures change in tune, stepping up into the 50s Saturday before rising to the 60s Sunday to make for a wonderful weekend to be outside. The ridge to the west of the area nudges eastward just enough to ward off a weak clipper shortwave before deamplifying into quasi-zonal flow headed through the upcoming work week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1141 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 While KOFK should drop to around 800ft cigs over the next couple of hours, I expect KOMA and KLNK should hang around 1300-1500ft overnight tonight. Occasional drizzle could briefly reduce visibility at times. Winds remain out of the north around 13-15kt, gusting still to 25kt at KOFK. KOFK will see cigs rise to MVFR midday Wednesday, with KOFK and KOMA holding at MVFR through the rest of the TAF period. KLNK sees cigs breaking up over the afternoon, with conditions improving to VFR by 23Z. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Petersen AVIATION...McCoy