Ober Gatlinburg Ski Resort snow report

412 FXUS64 KMRX 130547 AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 147 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 136 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026 - Today will be mostly dry with very low rain chances mainly in the south and higher terrain of Tennessee and North Carolina. - Numerous showers and storms can be expected Sunday, and a few of these storms may become strong to severe with damaging winds the primary threat. - Turning cooler and drier early in the work week, but chances for showers and storms will increase again by Thursday into Friday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 136 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026 In the upper levels, a broad trough is over the Central and Eastern U.S. At the surface, the cold front is weak and it is difficult to place but it looks to be near Southwest Virginia and Northeast Tennessee stretching back toward Crossville. This front is stalling and hasn`t moved much in the last few hours. By this afternoon/evening the front will likely be stalled near the Georgia/Tennessee border. Showers and thunderstorms will be very isolated this afternoon and evening with the best chances in the south and the higher terrain of Tennessee and North Carolina. High rain chances return on Sunday afternoon and evening as a cold front moves through the region. SPC does not have us outlooked in a severe threat yet but with CAPE around 2k to 3k J/kg expected during max heating it seems like there will be at least a marginal threat for some severe storms. The primary threat will be damaging winds. The freezing level will be high around 15k feet making large hail difficult to achieve. The broad trough over the Central and Eastern U.S. deepens by Monday. The NBM has low rain chances Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. A stationary boundary will likely linger well to the south early next week. With a deep trough in place, temperatures will be cooler with highs mainly in the lower 80s. Rain chances increase on Thursday as another system approaches. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 136 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026 Patchy fog possible over the next 6 hours, but low confidence on where, if any, significant restrictions occur. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected to remain predominant through the period. A very low (10%) chance for a shower or thunderstorm exists to day, but too low to include in TAFs. Diurnal winds to remain generally less than 10 knots, from the W to WSW during the afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 90 72 88 68 / 30 30 90 30 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 89 70 86 65 / 20 40 100 80 Oak Ridge, TN 88 70 85 64 / 20 50 100 60 Tri Cities Airport, TN 88 66 85 62 / 10 40 100 80 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...McD AVIATION...Wellington