Ski Montcalm snow report

471 FXUS61 KBTV 040728 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 328 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... As of 241 AM EDT Saturday... An Air Quality Alert remains in effect for central and northern Vermont from 7 AM this morning to Midnight tonight due to Canadian wildfire smoke. && .KEY MESSAGES... As of 241 AM EDT Saturday... 1. A few showers and thunderstorms remain possible this morning and early afternoon. Drier conditions expected for Sunday. 2. Some hazy conditions and poorer air quality is expected today due to wildfire smoke dropping out of Canada. 3. Warm weather will linger into next week, along with chances of showers and thunderstorms. && .DISCUSSION... As of 241 AM EDT Saturday... KEY MESSAGE 1: A few showers and thunderstorms remain possible this morning with some forcing along a frontal boundary dropping out of Canada and as a wave moves west to east from the Lake Ontario region. Forcing will not be overly strong with this front, but some showers are already evident in northern New York. These showers will move into north-central Vermont for the morning before quickly dropping south. Highest chances of showers and thunderstorms will be in southern Vermont where a wave will move through late this morning and early afternoon. This area is evident over western Lake Ontario and will track eastward this morning. While strong thunderstorms are not anticipated, lightning will be a threat to those participating in outdoor Independence Day activities from 10 AM to 4 PM. KEY MESSAGE 2: Wildfire smoke is evident over southern Canada and is dropping southward with the front. As winds turn northerly this area will advect over the region this morning and persist until around midnight. Air quality is expected to drop into the orange category becoming hazardous for groups that are more sensitive to air quality degradation. Some lingering haze is possible past midnight as high pressure moves in, but conditions are anticipated to improve overall moving into Sunday. KEY MESSAGE 3: By the middle of next week, the warm weather will continue to linger across the region. Current forecast supports high temperatures in 80s to low 90s for next week, although heat indices are not quite as high in comparison to the recent heat wave. Overnight lows remain on the warmer side, generally in the 60s, providing little relief from the daytime warmth. Chances of showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the week. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Through 06Z Sunday...VFR conditions currently prevail across all terminals, and are expected to persist through most of the forecast period. Winds will trend light and variable overnight, before increasing out of west/northwest towards the afternoon, with gusts possible through the afternoon. A few showers may be possible through the afternoon, especially further south at terminals like KRUT, but overall coverage and intensity of any showers should be relatively minor. Outlook... Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. && .CLIMATE... Below are the current low temperature records in jeopardy at our area climate sites. Record High Minimum Temperatures: July 4: KPBG: 71/1973 KSLK: 67/1952 && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...Air Quality Alert from 7 AM this morning to midnight EDT tonight for VTZ001>010-016>018. NY...None. && $$ WHAT HAS CHANGED...Boyd DISCUSSION...Kremer/Boyd AVIATION...Kremer CLIMATE...NWS BTV