Mirror Lake Coyote Ski Trails snow report

962 FXAK68 PAFC 290028 AFDAFC Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 428 PM AKDT Sun Jun 28 2026 .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: This afternoon through Wednesday evening)... Cloudy conditions encompass most of Southcentral Alaska this afternoon. The one exception is Kodiak Island where most of today has been quite sunny. However, a few mid-level clouds are trying to sneak in from the southwest. A few lightning strikes occurred earlier this afternoon to the northwest of Glennallen. Isolated thunderstorms continue to be possible across northern portions of the Copper River Basin the rest of this afternoon into the early evening. A very low chance (10%) exists on Monday afternoon for portions of the Copper Basin near the Talkeetna Mountains and again on Tuesday afternoon for the central Copper Basin. Elsewhere, expect isolated to scattered showers to continue across Southcentral the rest of today and into Monday. An upper-level low in the eastern Bering Sea comes ashore of Southwest Alaska on Monday and moves east and over Southcentral by Tuesday. This will bring another round of showers to the Copper Basin, with maybe a few lightning strikes as mentioned previously, the Mat-Su Valleys, Anchorage, and the northern Kenai Peninsula. The southern half of the Kenai looks to stay mostly dry. Showers look to persist in the Copper Basin for Wednesday as the rest of Southcentral looks dry. However, Kodiak Island will begin to see more unsettled and showery conditions by Wednesday as another low in the Bering Sea sends its front eastward and across the island by Wednesday morning. As of now precipitation looks to remain light across Kodiak Island for Wednesday. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today through Tuesday)... Several centers of low pressure moving through the Bering and Southwest Alaska will continue to promote cloudy, breezier, and cooler conditions. Southwest Alaska to see a break in thunderstorm potential through the remainder of the weekend, though much of the region will likely pick up some light rain as widespread rain showers move through. A weakening, vertically stacked, low pressure system will move into the Southwest Alaska coastline through this evening. By Monday, a robust upper low moving over Southwest may create just enough elevated lift for isolated afternoon thunderstorms over the interior Kuskokwim Delta and Valley. For Tuesday, a slight warm-up for interior Southwest Alaska as the upper low continues eastward and cloud cover diminishes behind it. By Wednesday morning, the front of the next incoming low pressure system will spread light rainfall across the Southwest coastline, pushing inland through the day. For the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands, expect mildly improving conditions as the current Bering Sea low exits into Southwest Alaska. Later this afternoon, a North Pacific low and its front will approach the Western Aleutians and Bering, bringing widespread rain and gales across the region. The leading front will move over Adak by Monday morning, and Unalaska and the Pribilofs by Monday evening. As the low occludes and moves into the Bering Sea, expect another surge of 20-30 kt winds for Adak and Atka for Tuesday on the backside of the low. -KC/CL && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through Saturday)... An active pattern looks to continue for the long term forecast. Due to many smaller scale features moving in, there is some uncertainty exactly where they will track. Wednesday will start with shortwaves and fronts in the Bering causing elevated winds and rainfall for the Aleutians and the Southwest Mainland. Southcentral will see this troughing stretch into the Gulf of Alaska. This would allow for rainfall, but there is uncertainty on how quickly the troughing will move into the Gulf of Alaska. This means that rainfall in Southcentral could be delayed if the troughing moves in slower. Things become more uncertain Thursday through Saturday as more features move in. The current thinking is that a ridge will set up in the Bering by Friday, where it will remain through Saturday. Meanwhile, a larger low will move into the Gulf of Alaska, bringing rainfall to the Southwest and Southcentral Mainlands, including Kodiak Island. As for thunderstorms, it seems like convective potential will be low through next week, so storm potential is low for now. -JAR && .AVIATION... PANC...There is a chance (40 percent) for rain showers to drift over the terminal this afternoon and evening. VFR conditions are expected with ceilings dropping below 5000 feet through this evening. Light southerly winds expected with brief gusts up to 15 to 20 kts. && $$