Ski-Tonka Snow Report

045 FXUS63 KMPX 040536 AFDMPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1136 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain showers will continue into Thursday with another inch of rain focused over western and central Minnesota, and lesser amounts elsewhere. - Dry weather will settle in Friday, and last for most of next week. - Temperatures come down to near normal values by the end of the week with overnight lows near or below freezing through the weekend before a slight warm up early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 252 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 No major changes from the previous forecast. An impressive system will bring periods of rain across the region into Thursday. No flooding is expected, but there will be noticeable rises on the main stem rivers. Looking ahead, dry weather will settle in on Friday and last for most of next week. Early afternoon satellite and radar imagery showed several circulations within an upper level low that was centered across the Nebraska/Iowa/Missouri border. This PV anomaly was producing clouds and scattered showers across much of the Midwest. Closer to home, and area of deformation precipitation was beginning to take shape across the southern half of Minnesota into northern Wisconsin. This band will slowly lift northwest this evening. On Wednesday, the main circulation will lift northward along the Mississippi River valley, and this will bring additional rainfall across the region. On Wednesday evening, the deformation band will stall out, and pivot back to the southeast, brining more precipitation across Minnesota and Wisconsin. On Thursday, this system will slowly exit the region, and rain ends from west to east. By the time it ends, most locations will see another half to an inch of rain, with the highest amounts north of I-94 and west of I-35. Looking ahead, a prolonged stretch of dry weather will settle in across the region. Temperatures will be cool Friday and Saturday, but then gradually warm up next week, with highs back into the mid to upper 50s. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1130 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 There continues to be very little change expected through early Thursday with persistent IFR/LIFR cigs/vis. We start to see hints of improvement by the very end of the period, but otherwise, no change to the forecast. KMSP...No additional concerns. IFR/LIFR conditions prevail for the next 24 hours or so. We may see MVFR cigs/vis after 06z tomorrow. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ THU...MVFR/-SHRA early, then VFR late. Wind N 5-10 kts. FRI...VFR. Wind NE 5 kts. SAT...VFR. Wind SW 5 kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JRB AVIATION...Dye