Springhill snow report

618 FXUS63 KFGF 130812 AFDFGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 312 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Extreme heat warning continues thru this evening. Red Flag warning for this afternoon and early evening for parts of northwest Minnesota due to wind and low humidity. - Heat impacts may linger through the work week for some locations. This may influence drought development within the region, as well as fire weather conditions. && .UPDATE... Issued at 308 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026 Upgraded the red flag watch to a warning for parts of northwest Minnesota (Park Rapids to Bagley to Roseau and east) where the Minnesota Intragency Fire Center is requesting red flag warnings when winds are 15 mph or higher and RH values are less than 35 percent in the forested locations. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 339 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026 ...Synopsis... Anomalously strong upper ridging is building into the Northern Plains this weekend into next week. This is introducing very hot temperatures, while also promoting mostly dry conditions. Relatively high humidity will also accompany this period today and Monday. These conditions will drive heat impacts for multiple days this weekend into next week. Very scant chances for precipitation in the next days as strong upper ridging remains over our area. This would have implications on continued heat impacts, developing potential for flash drought, as well as implications on fire weather conditions. More details on these below. Speaking of fire weather, the very hot temperatures Sunday and Monday will allow for RH values into the 30s. This combined with breezy southwest winds and very hot temperatures, fire weather conditions could ensue. Big question on fuel status, but general deficit of rainfall in places like northwest MN into the central and southern Red River Valley may prime fuels for upcoming heat wave to be susceptible to rapid fire spread. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued in northwest MN as requested by Minnesota Interagency Fire Center partners. ...Dangerous Heat Wave Sunday and Monday... Sunday afternoon temperatures have remained in the 90s, although are forecast into the low 100s within the Red River Valley mid to late afternoon. High dew points in the 70s, including trustworthy upper 70s, have pushed heat indices between 100F and 120F area- wide. This is driving very hot conditions, along with wet-bulb globe temperatures in the upper 80s to near 90F, or into the `Extreme` category. Hottest conditions will be within the Red River Valley. Limited overnight recovery in temperatures combined with high humidity will continue heat impacts. Similar daytime very hot conditions will be present Monday as well. ...Heat Impacts May Linger... Heat impacts may extend into Tuesday / mid week in southeast ND and west-central MN. This will depend on how far an eventual dry cold front moves through late Monday into Tuesday. It is possible, additionally heat impacts (and subsequent headlines) may linger in these areas into mid week. While the hottest temperatures aloft will moderate next week beyond Monday, there is a cluster of ensemble guidance that still keeps anomalously high temperatures aloft within the Dakotas and Minnesota through Friday. This includes some guidance suggesting 850mb of at least 90th percentile compared to climatology. This would introduce potential for long duration heat impacts. And while heat indices may not reach 100F, heat indices well into the 90s, high to extreme wet bulb globe temperatures, as well as poor overnight recovery is maintaining HeatRisk in the Major to Extreme categories within southeast ND and west-central MN through at least Thursday. Should this heat linger through the work week next week, this would be unusually long heat wave for our region. This may necessitate the need for extension of Extreme Heat Warnings next week. This will also have implications on rapidly developing drought within the region, of which the CPC has outlooked our region for this potential. Additionally, this would serve to dry out fuels for subsequent fire conditions. This is something we will be on the look out for. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period across eastern ND and northwest MN, with very hot temperatures in the upper 90s/100s across the region again Monday afternoon. Low level wind shear (40-45kt) is expected through the early morning hours Monday. Southwest winds increase again Monday, and there is a low chance (20%) for periodic wind gusts around 30kt over parts of the Red River Valley through the afternoon. A frontal zone moves out of Canada late in the afternoon and winds will begin to decrease and become variable as this settles into northeast ND by the evening hours. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...Extreme Heat Warning until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for NDZ006>008- 014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054. MN...Extreme Heat Warning until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for MNZ001>009- 013>017-022>024-027>032-040. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening for MNZ005-006-008-009-016-017-023-024. && $$ UPDATE...Riddle DISCUSSION...CJ AVIATION...DJR