Black Jack snow report

441 FXUS66 KOTX 060701 AFDOTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 1201 AM PDT Mon Jul 6 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - A gradual warming trend continues through Tuesday. Moderate HeatRisk on Monday and Tuesday with highs in the 90s. - Elevated to critical fire weather conditions return Tuesday and Wednesday due to a combination of gusty winds and low relative humidity. && .SYNOPSIS... A gradual warming trend will continue early this week, bringing widespread highs in the 90s with potential for localized triple digits Monday and Tuesday. This will result in a widespread area of Moderate HeatRisk. Dry conditions will continue with relative humidities falling into the teens to low 20s each afternoon. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will return Tuesday and peak on Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... Monday through Wednesday: Ridging continuing to move eastward through the state will result in warming temperatures to start off the work week. Temperatures today will be 4-6 degrees higher than they were yesterday. This increase in temperatures will result in Moderate HeatRisk returning across the Okanogan Valley, Waterville Plateau, and Columbia Basin areas. Temperatures will further warm Tuesday, reaching the low to high 90s, increasing the coverage of Moderate HeatRisk to much of the Inland Northwest. All those sensitive to heat-related illnesses should make sure to keep adequately cool and hydrated. On Monday evening, a strong low off the Gulf of Alaska will begin moving southward down the Canadian coast, and by Tuesday will move inland and across British Columbia. By Wednesday, this low will usher a strong and dry cold front through the area. This will result in very favorable conditions for fire weather concerns as low relative humidity is paired with strong winds from the frontal passage. New and ongoing fires will be capable of easily escaping control. Ahead of the frontal passage on Tuesday, winds in the Cascade gaps will increase to 25-30 mph. Thus, a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the Okanogan Valley, Cascade foothills, Waterville Plateau, and Western Columbia Basin on Tuesday from 10AM through 10PM. With the frontal passage on Wednesday, winds will increase across much of central Washington, with widespread wind gusts 20-30mph expected and wind gusts 35-45 mph expected along the Cascade gaps. Current models show an 8-10mb pressure gradient between SEA and COE. These higher wind gusts could result in blowing objects, alongside challenging driving for high profile vehicles. Additional fire weather headlines for Wednesday are very likely. Thursday through Friday: Clusters and long-term models show disagreement in the weather pattern to end the work week. Half of the clusters show lower heights continuing to impact the area, which will keep temperatures right at or just below normal. The other half of clusters show higher heights moving through the area, which would favor temperatures rising above normal. /AS && .AVIATION... 06Z TAFs: VFR condtions expected at all terminals for the TAF period. Winds will be generally light. Smoke from fires in central Washington could create localized ceilings and reduced visibility. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence for VFR conditions regionwide. Low confidence in smoke from local wildfires lowering visibility or ceilings at TAF sites. ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Spokane 89 54 94 61 85 54 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 Coeur d`Alene 88 57 92 61 84 55 / 0 0 0 10 10 0 Pullman 84 52 90 56 81 50 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lewiston 91 59 98 64 89 59 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 Colville 90 52 93 58 86 51 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 Sandpoint 88 56 92 60 83 54 / 0 0 0 20 10 0 Kellogg 87 56 90 59 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 10 0 Moses Lake 93 57 97 60 87 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wenatchee 93 66 96 66 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Omak 93 61 96 63 88 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707). ID...None. && $$