Hawksnest Golf & Ski Resort snow report

659 FXUS61 KRNK 050730 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 330 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Aviation and Forecast Discussion Updated. && .KEY MESSAGES... Key Messages 1: Hot conditions continue today with seasonal averages returning this week. Key Messages 2: Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms for the next several days. && .DISCUSSION... Key Messages 1: Hot conditions continue today with seasonal averages returning this week. The continual breakdown of a mid-level ridge will lead to the heat wave`s demise, but that does not mean conditions won`t be hot. Highs today are likely to be between the lower 80s to mid-90s with the hottest temperatures in the Piedmont. Similar to yesterday, the maximum temperature possible is dependent on when afternoon storms arrive. Some locations, such as Danville, broke records but others, like Blacksburg, did not due to cloud cover and storm convection. A similar atmospheric setup is possible this afternoon and evening but with the ridge breakdown, no records are forecast to be broken and no county will even reach Heat Advisory criteria. Nevertheless, counties in the Piedmont could still have heat index values of 100-103 degrees so caution is still advised. As the week progresses, highs will be closer to seasonal averages with highs in the lower 80s to lower 90s. Key Messages 2: Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms for the next several days. Another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms is possible today. Similar to yesterday, these storms will start popping out around 2PM and carry a damaging wind gust threat. There will still be CAPE to go around and nearly zero shear but the relatively "cooler" temperatures will contribute to only a Marginal Risk of severe weather for most of the forecast area. The daytime heating as well as passage of several disturbances in the coming days will provide daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. A mid-level trough is still projected to move eastward to our north but recent guidance has the trough elongated more to the southwest, rather than have its southern most tip of vorticity break off as mentioned in last night`s forecast. The significance of this change is we may experience a trough passage after all which will have downstream implications on wind shear and storm development. There is still a lot of uncertainty on the timing of the trough and its associated cold front so this will be monitored. Lastly, PWAT values between 1.5-2.0 inches will continue into the week and bring an excessive rainfall risk to the region. The storms in the past 24 hours had heavy rainfall rates and these types of storms are likely to return today and this week. The scattered nature of the rain means it will be hit or miss on who gets the most rain and receive the largest threat of flooding. The Weather Prediction Center has a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall for areas along and west of the Blue Ridge (and parts of the central Piedmont of VA) for today and the entire region tomorrow. && .AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Various flight rules for the terminals for the rest of the day and into tonight. Residual storms and early morning fog will likely keep KBCB, KBLF, KLYH, and KLWB sub-VFR with LIFR conditions possible. The fog will clear out by sunrise and all terminals should briefly return to VFR before another round of storms arrive this afternoon and evening. Similar to yesterday, the storms will be scattered in nature, start around 2PM, and carry the threat of damaging wind gusts. The storms are likely to continue into the late evening hours so the only window of VFR is probably going to be between 8AM-2PM. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... The afternoon scattered thunderstorm motif is projected to repeat in the coming days so all terminals will likely have a seesaw interaction between VFR in the late mornings and sub-VFR in the afternoon and overnight hours. && .CLIMATE... Record highs were tied or broken and Roanoke/Lynchburg and Danville today. Records don`t look to be in jeopardy Sunday. 07/05 Station Hi Max T Hi Min T Roanoke 100/1999 76/2012 Lynchburg 98/2024 75/1900 Danville 103/1919 76/1926 Bluefield 93/1948 71/1969 Blacksburg 94/1930 69/1932 && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...CG AVIATION...CG CLIMATE...CG/SH