Goose Creek At Manchester Flow Report
As of July 20, 2026, Goose Creek At Manchester is flowing at 44 cfs with a gage height of 6.33 ft, holding steady over the past 24 hours. Source: USGS gauge #03281100, refreshed throughout the day.
Historical Data
Goose Creek At Manchester at a glance
How Goose Creek At Manchester is running right now, where it sits on the map, and the key gauge stats.
Goose Creek At Manchester is flowing at 44 cfs, with the water sitting 6.33 ft at the gage. Flow has held roughly steady over the past 24 hours.
This is USGS gauge #03281100 in Kentucky. Over the past 10 days the average has been 75 cfs, peaking at 237 cfs.
For real-time updates and historical context, see the realtime view or the historical comparison. Browse other gauges in the Kentucky flow report.
Engineering Data
Flow-duration statistics and observed peak-flow context computed from this gauge’s complete daily record (USGS #03281100).
Estimate flows at an ungauged site
Drainage-area ratio transfer from this gauge . Most reliable for hydrologically similar sites in the same watershed with area ratios between roughly 0.5 and 1.5.
Percentiles are flow-duration values computed from this gauge’s observed daily record as archived by Snoflo. Return periods are Weibull plotting-position estimates from observed annual maxima, provided as general reference context only. Always verify against official USGS NWIS records. Part of Snoflo for Engineering.
Streamflow Forecast
Over the next 5 days, Goose Creek At Manchester is expected to recede from today's 46 cfs, toward roughly 35 cfs by 2026-07-24 (likely range 7-172 cfs) -- drier than normal for the date.
Powered by PULSE — Snoflo’s forecast engine, trained on this gauge’s full record of storms, snowmelt, and dry spells.
| Date | Expected (p50) | Likely range (p25–p75) | vs normal | Projected stage |
|---|
How does this compare to past years?
Year-over-year overlay, annual peak discharge, the full distribution of daily flows on record, and the gauge's rating curve.
Weather Forecast
Next 5 days, hour by hour
Temperature line with weather symbols on top, snow + rain accumulation as columns, humidity as a dotted line.
5-day forecast table
Every 3 hours, broken out across temperature, snow, rain, humidity, and wind.
| Time | Condition | Temp (°F) | Snow (in) | Rain (in) | Humidity (%) | Wind (mps) | Wind dir |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading detailed forecast… | |||||||
15-day forecast
Daily temperatures, snow, and rain projected over the next two weeks.
Goose Creek At Manchester
There are no significant dams on the mainstem of the creek, but several small reservoirs exist on its tributaries. The flow is generally low during the summer months and highest during the spring, reflecting the seasonal precipitation patterns. Goose Creek has a history of flooding, and the streamgauge plays an important role in monitoring flood conditions. Interestingly, Goose Creek is a popular fishing spot for rainbow trout, which are stocked in the creek each year by the Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources.
Nearby streamflow levels
Cross-check Goose Creek At Manchester's discharge against nearby gauges to spot whether the change here is local or regional.
| Gauge | Streamflow |
|---|---|
| Goose Creek At Manchester | 44 cfs |
| Lynn Camp Creek At Corbin | 21 cfs |
| South Fork Kentucky River At Booneville | 223 cfs |
| Sturgeon Creek At Cressmont | 26 cfs |
| Cutshin Creek At Wooton | 14 cfs |
| Kentucky River At Lock 14 At Heidelberg | 947 cfs |
Nearby snowpack data
Snowpack at SNOTEL stations near Goose Creek At Manchester. Spring snowmelt is the dominant driver of streamflow in mountain basins -- a deep snowpack upstream means more runoff later in the season.
| SNOTEL station | Snowpack |
|---|---|
| Booneville 12sw | 0 in |
| Harlan 3n | 0 in |
| Clover Bottom 1 Wsw | 0 in |
| Beattyville 4n | 0 in |
| Jackson | 0 in |
| Carr Fork Lake | 0 in |
Plan a trip
Reservoirs, boat launches, river runs, and fishing spots within driving distance of Goose Creek At Manchester.
Boat launches
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River runs
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River levels & flood safety
- Read the level before you go
- A river that's runnable at one flow can be deadly at another. Check current discharge and gage height — like the values shown above — against the flood-stage thresholds, and remember levels can spike fast after rain or a dam release.
- Respect cold water
- Snowmelt rivers run cold even in summer. Sudden immersion triggers cold-water shock and saps strength within minutes. Wear a PFD, dress for the water temperature (not the air), and never wade or paddle alone.
- Watch for swiftwater hazards
- Strainers (downed trees), undercut rocks, and low-head dams are the deadliest features on moving water. High, fast, muddy water hides them. If in doubt, scout from shore and portage.
- Mind flash floods & releases
- Narrow canyons can flood from a storm miles upstream, and dam-controlled reaches can rise without warning. Know the forecast, the release schedule, and your exit before you launch.
Track Goose Creek At Manchester in the Snoflo app
Save this gauge as a favorite, set push alerts when streamflow crosses a threshold (e.g. "alert me when Goose Creek At Manchester crosses 5,000 cfs"), and Snoflo's iOS app will push the moment USGS reports the crossing.
About Goose Creek At Manchester
Where does the streamflow data for Goose Creek At Manchester come from?
Discharge, gage height, and water temperature come directly from the USGS streamflow gauge 03281100. Snoflo refreshes the time series throughout the day. Forecasts come from the NOAA / yr.no feed Snoflo's iOS app uses.
How often is the report updated?
USGS gauges report continuously (typically every 15 minutes). Snoflo pulls fresh values throughout the day — look for the "as of" timestamp on the streamflow hero card.
What's the difference between discharge and gage height?
Discharge (cubic feet per second, or cfs) is the volume of water flowing past the gauge each second. Gage height is how high the water sits at the gauge (feet). They're related by a rating curve specific to each gauge — higher water means more flow, but the exact ratio depends on channel shape.
How is "percent of median" calculated?
Today's discharge is compared to the historical median discharge on this calendar day across the gauge's full record. 100% = right on median; 200% = a very high year; 30% = a drought-level low.
What are flood stages, and is this river safe right now?
Flood stages are NWS-defined gage-height thresholds — Action, Minor, Moderate, Major — marking when nearby roads or floodplains start to be affected. "Safe" depends on your activity and skill: a level that's a fun paddle for an expert can be lethal for a wader. Always check the current level against the thresholds above and the safety links, and when in doubt, stay off the water.
Can I get alerts when Goose Creek At Manchester rises?
Yes — flow alerts are managed in the Snoflo iOS app. Favorite this gauge, set a streamflow threshold (e.g. "alert me when discharge crosses 5,000 cfs"), and you'll get a push the moment USGS reports the crossing.
Access the free Goose Creek At Manchester report
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