Sawkill Family Ski Center Snow Report

544 FXUS61 KALY 030546 AFDALY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albany NY 146 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes with this forecast update. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A mostly dry and seasonable weekend is expected. 2) A strong cold front brings breezy and even cooler weather for early next week, along with the potential for valley frost at night. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... High pressure will build eastward across the area today bringing sunny and seasonable weather to the area. Lows tonight will fall back into the 30s and 40s. No frost headlines are expected in the continued growing season areas with lows mainly in the upper 30s or 40s. This high will begin to depart to the east on Sunday as an upper level shortwave approaches from the west and weak area of low pressure tracks off the East Coast. These features will allow for an increase in clouds in the afternoon and a low chance for a few showers in spots, especially for areas south and east of Albany. KEY MESSAGE 2... A potent upper level and surface low will be slowly tracking across Quebec early next week. This feature will send a strong cold front across the area on Monday. This front will pick up enough moisture from the Great Lakes for a few showers mainly for areas north and west of Albany later Sunday night into Monday. Strong cold air advection then takes place behind the front as 850 hPa temperatures fall to near or below 0C. Tuesday will be the coolest day of the week with highs mainly in the 50s except upper 40s across the Adirondacks and southern Greens and lower 60s in the mid-Hudson Valley. It will be breezy on Monday with winds gusting 20 to 30 mph if not locally higher across the Mohawk Valley, Capital District and Berkshires. While lows Monday night fall back into the 30s to lower 40s, there should be enough wind to prevent frost. The better frost night would be Tuesday night with light to calm winds with the high directly overhead. Frost Advisories may be needed for some areas where the growing season is still active. Temperatures rebound back toward normal values for the second half of the week with the next chance for some rain showers being during this time as well as another upper level trough approaches. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Through 06z/Sun...High pressure will build eastward across the area during the upcoming TAF period with VFR conditions for all sites. A few mid and high clouds will pass through overnight and then give way to nearly SKC conditions for much of Saturday through Saturday evening. There should be enough wind in place to prevent fog for the rest of the overnight period. Winds will be mainly northwesterly to northeasterly at 4-8 kt through the period. Outlook... Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Monday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Monday Night through Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...33 AVIATION...33