Laurel Mountain Ski Resort Snow Report

948 FXUS61 KPBZ 030530 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1230 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No major changes accompany this latest forecast update. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) After morning sprinkles, dry and warm through early Wednesday 2) Rain returns late Wednesday into early Thursday, with an unsettled pattern through early next week && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... Weak low level ascent in warm advection/weak 925 mb warm front should result in a potential for isolated areas of very light rain early this morning. This should lift north of the area later this morning, as a ridge begins to build in across the Upper Ohio Valley region head of a deepening trough across the central CONUS. This ridge will maintain dry weather and warm temperatures into early Wednesday, before shifting east. High temperatures, both today and Wednesday, are expected to be 15 to 20 degrees above average for this time of the year. KEY MESSAGE 2... The main upper trough is expected to deepen into a closed low across the Upper Midwest on Wednesday. An initial shortwave in southwest flow ahead of the low, along with a surface occluded front, should bring increasing rain chances by afternoon into the evening as this approach and cross the Upper Ohio Valley region. Some jet assisted ascent aloft should also bring some enhancement to the coverage of the rain by Wednesday night. The most likely QPF amounts range from 0.25 to 0.5 inches. Lower end (10th percentile) amounts are generally 0.1 to 0.25 inches, with high end amounts (90th percentile) ranging from 0.7 to 1.3 inches, with the highest amounts across Ohio. The initial shortwave and surface occlusion should exit to the east of the area Thursday morning, with decreasing rain chances. Model ensembles then indicate a more active, amplified pattern through early next week, with a broad upper trough across the NE CONUS. A series of embedded shortwave troughs should then periodically cross the area, keeping occasional rain chances in the forecast. With decreasing 500 mb heights, temperatures should gradually fall to more seasonably cool readings over the weekend. && .AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Low level moisture and warm advection should result in mainly VFR stratocu cigs across the area tonight. More favorable low level moisture north of PIT should bring MVFR cigs to FKL and BVI through early Tuesday morning. Isolated light rain is also possible, especially north of PIT, though limited coverage and impact precludes a TAF mention at this time. A ridge is then expected to build across the Upper Ohio Valley region later this morning, with lower clouds clearing, scattered cirrus, and south wind around 5 kt. Outlook... A ridge of high pressure should maintain VFR through part of Wednesday. An occluded front returns rain and restrictions to the area late Wednesday into early Thursday. A series of crossing upper troughs will maintain periodic restriction and rain chances Friday and Saturday. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. OH...None. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...WM AVIATION...WM