Snowshoe Mountain Snow Report

002 FXUS61 KRLX 080728 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 328 AM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Dry into Saturday, then precipitation chances increase for the second half of the weekend. Still some question as to how much rain the area will receive, as amounts will be highly dependent on the timing and track of the remnants of Isaias. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Dry weather continues into Saturday. 2) Remnants of Isaias bring widespread rain to the area late Saturday through the end of the weekend. 3) Cold front crosses on Tuesday, the high pressure returns for the middle of next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... A moisture-starved cold front crosses the area this morning, then high pressure swiftly regains control and allows the ongoing dry spell to extend into Saturday. Both today and Friday, afternoon afternoon high temperatures are expected to be in the upper 50s to low 70s in the mountains and 70s in the lowlands. Dry air will keep dewpoints much lower, causing relative humidity values to lower into the 30 to 40 percent range in the mountains and upper 20s to 30s for much of the lowlands each afternoon. While winds should remain light on Friday, breezy conditions are expected to develop this afternoon. Some gusts to 20 mph could be possible in the lowlands, but best potential for stronger gusts, to 30 mph, will be in the northeast mountains. KEY MESSAGE 2... The remnants of Isaias are expected to lift into the Ohio Valley this weekend, with precipitation chances increasing as tropical moisture invades the forecast area late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Widespread rain should then persist as a shortwave trough ushers the weakening system east across the area Sunday and Sunday night. Models generally depict rainfall amounts of one to two inches across the majority of the forecast area through Sunday night, though variations in the timing and track of the system could result in higher accumulations. At least a low risk of flooding is expected to develop beneath bands of heavier rain and in poor-drainage areas. While the risk of severe weather should be low, can`t completely rule out the possibility of a few stronger storms. Also, outside of storms, winds may gust into the 20 to 40 mph range at times, with strongest gusts occurring along the mountains Saturday night and Sunday. Precipitation tapers off and drier conditions briefly take hold as the weakening system heads into the Atlantic on Monday. KEY MESSAGE 3... A low-pressure system, which passes well to the north, is projected to steer a cold front across the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. High pressure and an upper ridge then transit the area and support another brief dry spell mid-week. && .AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... While patchy fog is possible in some of the deeper valleys early this morning, extent should be limited by light winds that persist as a front crosses the area this morning. Confidence in fog affecting terminals is low, and any restrictions that did develop should lift around 12-13Z. VFR will then take hold for the balance of the TAF period. Initially southwest winds will pivot to northwest behind the front, then 5-12kt sustained winds and gusts into the 15-20kt range are expected during the day. Winds turn calm to light and variable after 00Z. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog may not reach EKN/CRW this morning. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE THU 10/08/26 UTC 1HRLY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 EDT 1HRLY 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H AFTER 06Z FRIDAY... IFR in valley fog possible Friday and Saturday mornings. IFR possible in rain Saturday night through Sunday night. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...20 AVIATION...20