Alta Sierra At Shirley Meadows Snow Report

576 FXUS65 KVEF 140811 AFDVEF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 111 AM PDT Wed Oct 14 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Gusty north winds will return to the region on Thursday and Friday. * Precipitation chances look to return early next week. && .DISCUSSION...through early next week. Northerly breezes will linger down the Colorado River Valley today as the trough responsible for yesterday`s cool temperatures and gusty winds moves off to our east. Temperatures will gradually begin to warm back up in the wake of this trough with temperatures approaching normal as we head into next week. As this trough continues to move off to the east, energy will drop in behind it on Thursday and Friday, eventually developing into a closed low over southern California/northern Baja. As this disturbance drops into the area on Thursday morning, gusty northerly-to-northeastelry winds will pick up across the area. A Wind Advisory has been issued for the lower Colorado River Valley, southern Clark County, the Mojave National Preserve, and the Cadiz Basin from Thursday morning through Friday morning for 40 to 50 mph wind gusts. Elsewhere, gusts will peak in the 30 to 40 mph range on Thursday. Gusty northeasterly winds will ramp back up overnight Thursday into Friday as the low closes off and a 35 to 45 knot 700 mb jet sets up across the region overnight. Gusty winds will continue into the early morning hours before beginning to decrease late Friday morning/early Friday afternoon. This closed low will churn over southern California and northern Baja over the weekend before weakening and lifting to the east early next week. While this low spins over southern California over the weekend, Hurricane Simon will slowly meander north into the Gulf of California, weakening as he moves into the gulf. Given the placement of the low as Simon moves north, some ensemble members have begun to pick up on the potential for moisture advection into the area over the weekend. Adding another moving piece to the puzzle that is the long term forecast, an upper-level trough looks to drop into the area early next week. This moisture advection out ahead of the trough combined with the lift associated with the trough will have the potential to bring scattered-to-widespread showers to the region. This is currently reflected in the low precipitation chances that show up at the end of the forecast period. However, given the multiple moving parts to this puzzle and how far out in the forecast period this occurs, uncertainty is high and confidence in early next week`s forecast is currently low. && .AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds will remain northerly with some variability through the forecast period, increasing to around 10-12KT overnight tonight with a sporadic higher gust possible at times. Winds veer slightly to the northeast by late morning before becoming light after sunset. VFR conditions with clear skies prevail. For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds across much of the region will remain northerly with some variability the next 24 hours. Terrain influences will maintain gusty northwesterly winds tonight for KVGT in the northwestern Las Vegas Valley, but elsewhere, gusts diminish tonight before returning Wednesday, especially for KBIH in the northern Owens Valley and along the Lower Colorado River Valley from KIFP to KEED, where the strongest gusts to 25-30KT are expected. Winds diminish areawide by sunset, with winds through the period across the western Mojave Desert/KDAG expected to be light out of the west. VFR conditions and clear skies prevail. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures. && $$ DISCUSSION...Stessman AVIATION...Phillipson For more forecast information...see us on our webpage: https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter