Bestruns Snow Report

757 FXUS63 KMPX 110653 AFDMPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1253 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Much colder Thursday into the weekend. - A few light rain/snow showers Thursday morning, otherwise dry weather into next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1242 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026 Light rain continues to spread across central Minnesota & into western Wisconsin overnight, while drier air has inhibited much precipitation from reaching the ground. The rain will exit the area to the east through the morning with amounts generally less than 0.1" expected. A strong cold front will drop southwards through the area late this afternoon & evening, but looks to hold off late enough in the day for temperatures to reach the 50s this afternoon across much of the area. temperatures begin falling behind the front this evening & fall into the upper 30s to low 30s by Thursday morning. Cyclonic flow aloft behind the front looks strong enough to generate a few rain/snow showers overnight into Thursday morning, with the greatest coverage & chances for a light dusting of snow before sunrise across western Wisconsin. Much colder Canadian air settles into the region Thursday through the weekend, bringing our longest stretch of below- normal temperatures since mid-October. Highs Thursday & Friday only reach the upper 30s under continued cold advection, with overnight lows falling well into the 20s. Temperatures begin to moderate this weekend with highs back in the 40s, & a return to above-normal temepratures looks likely next week. High pressure keeps conditions dry through the weekend, with little chance for any significant precipitation until at least late next week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1128 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026 VFR conditions for all sites with mid-level ceilings as a cold front drops southeast from south-central Canada. The question is whether enough lift can be produced within meager moisture to squeeze out showers that would reach the ground after dropping through a dry layer of around 7kft depth. If any showers do occur, no reduction in flight category from VFR is expected. Mid-level clouds will then scatter out for much of the day, though lower to around the 3kft level. Not expecting MVFR ceilings, but there may be another layer over the SCT030 decks. BKN mid-level ceilings may then try to return by late day, but remain VFR. After light/variable winds overnight, winds turn N to NW post- front and become breezy/gusty from late morning through most of the day, with speeds reaching near 15G25kts. KMSP...With the main swath of precipitation remaining to the north of MSP plus a forecasted dry layer of near 7kft at the time the area of precipitation slides ESE mainly north of I-94, have kept MSP dry. Cannot entirely rule out a few sprinkles/showers but anything that would reach MSP would not cause any reduction in flight category from VFR. BKN ceilings will linger into the late morning before scattering out for the remainder of the day. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ THU...VFR. Wind N 5-10kts. FRI...VFR. Wind N 5kts. SAT...VFR. Wind SE 5kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...ETA AVIATION...JPC