Tuxedo Ridge snow report

529 FXUS61 KOKX 070810 AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 410 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Small Craft Advisory on the ocean was cancelled. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Drier conditions early this week, with temperatures briefly cooling into Monday. 2) Heat and humidity build mid to late week, with a return of unsettled weather. && .DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGE 1... Mid level trough axis swings through today as surface low pressure works through New England into the Canadian Maritimes. Attendant cold front moves through locally into the early afternoon, but conditions largely stay dry as W winds veer more NW into late day behind the fropa. Temperatures remain above normal today, though not nearly as hot for interior areas, with highs generally around 80. Deep mixing and a W/WNW wind to start the day should help coastal locations get into the low to mid 80s, and maybe a touch hotter in urban NE NJ. Some energy with the trough coupled with the cold pool aloft could spur a few showers toward the late afternoon, especially across SE CT. Coverage with this appears isolated to widely scattered though, and most should remain dry through the day. High pressure then builds down from the north, moving overhead into Tuesday. This will allow dry conditions to persist and winds to lighten, with temperatures and humidity values quite comfortable on Monday; highs ranging from the mid 70s to the low 80s. .KEY MESSAGE 2... Ridging settles over the East by midweek, and a warm, moist flow around it should lead to building heat and humidity locally. The increase in humidity could allow apparent temperatures to approach heat headline criteria in some areas by late week, with heat indices near 100F away from the coast both Thursday and Friday, and air temperatures into the low to mid 90s. The pattern may also become a bit more unsettled, with multiple disturbances potentially rounding the ridge, increasing shower and thunderstorm chances by late Wednesday, which then continues each afternoon through next weekend. CSU MLP still signals at least a marginal threat of severe weather in this period. && .AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A pre-frontal trough drifts south and east of the area overnight, followed by a cold frontal passage on Sunday. High pressure builds Sunday night. VFR conditions prevailing into today. Brief MVFR possible late Sunday afternoon/evening with a few isolated to scattered showers. Have not yet included shra in TAFs, but a PROB30 or TEMPO group may need to be added in subsequent TAF issuances for eastern terminals. W winds around or just under 10 kt for most terminals overnight. W- NW flow increases Sunday morning, becoming 10-15 kt with gusts 20-25 kt late morning into the afternoon. Winds direction will have an increasingly northerly component towards late afternoon and into the evening, with mainly N winds towards 0z. ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... Onset of gusts Sunday could be sooner than forecast. .OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... Sunday night: Mainly VFR. A period of MVFR ceilings is possible with isolated to widely scattered showers possible eastern CT and LI in the evening. NW-N wind gusts 20-25 kt in the evening. Monday-Tuesday: VFR. Wednesday-Thursday: Mainly VFR. Chance of afternoon/evening showers and isolated thunderstorms. SW wind gusts 20 kt possible Wednesday. Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90 && .MARINE... Cancelled the Small Craft Advisory on the ocean as seas have lowered below 5 ft, and are expected to remain around 3 to 4 ft through the rest of the weekend. Flow becomes W-NW later today behind a departing cold front. High pressure then builds in through Tuesday, with winds and seas remaining below SCA levels on all waters. Wind and seas could begin to approach SCA criteria once again on at least the ocean waters late Wednesday with the approach of a frontal system. Rip Currents... There`s a moderate rip current risk at all local ocean beaches today with a 10 to 15 kt flow parallel to the shoreline and a 4-ft 7-sec S swell. By Monday, the rip current risk is low with the lingering S swell falling to 3 ft at 6s and lightening winds. && .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...DR AVIATION...JE MARINE...DR