Bryce Resort snow report

016 FXUS61 KRNK 070625 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Issued by National Weather Service Raleigh NC 225 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No major changes. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1: Isolated severe storms possible today in parts of the far east otherwise daytime showers and storms for much of next week. 2: Warm temperatures expected, with well above normal temperatures for the Piedmont at times. && .DISCUSSION... Key Message 1: Isolated severe storms possible today in parts of the far east otherwise daytime showers and storms for much of next week. Guidance in good agreement with evolution of a frontal boundary sagging southwestward into part of the area today as a sfc ridge builds northeast. Parts of the north and east will have a greater chance of convective triggering with this feature along with the orientation of the instability axis and marginal deep layer bulk shear near 25-30 kts. Given this there could be some isolated strong to severe development with strong to damaging winds as the main threat and SPC continues to have our eastern Piedmont included in a Marginal Risk today. The aforementioned sfc high should keep the east mainly dry for Monday and Tuesday as the front and moisture axis looks to stall near the western CWA. A weak upper disturbance should slowly traverse the area Wednesday allowing for greater convective coverage and a more moist and conditionally unstable airmass should remain for the end of the week allowing for a more summertime regime with diurnally driven showers and storms. Key Message 2: Warm temperatures expected, with well above normal temperatures for the Piedmont at times. Today looks like the warmest day, with the Piedmont creeping into the low to even mid 90s in the afternoon. On Monday, the cold front is expected to be through the area, but even if it is not, cloud cover should keep temperatures from getting too hot. Although we will be well above normal for temperatures in the Piedmont, any record-breaking heat will remain outside of our forecast area. That said, it will seem quite hot with humidity also gradually increasing this week. Wednesday through Friday look especially muggy. && .AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through the TAF period. Have added VCTS to LYH as some isolated thunderstorms look to push within the vicinity of LYH after 19 UTC this afternoon. These thunderstorms should push south and east out of the area of LYH by 00 UTC. Some VCSH has been added to DAN after 00 UTC to account for these showers along the frontal boundary moving south throughout the late evening and early overnight period. Winds will predominantly be out of the west at around 10 knots or less through the TAF period. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... On Monday, some additional SHRA and TSRA look possible at BCB and BLF during the early morning hours and late afternoon and evening hours. As high pressure settles into the Northeast on Monday, winds will transition to the northeast, with occasional gusts up to 25 knots possible. As the high pressure pushes off the Mid-Atlantic states coastlines late Monday into Tuesday, winds are expected to transition to easterly and southeasterly across all terminals. This will return moisture back into the region allowing for daily chances for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening hours. These showers and thunderstorms may cause brief periods of sub-VFR conditions and brief periods of erratic and gusty winds if they move in the vicinity or over a terminal. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AB/SH AVIATION...EB